Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.083677 4.374736 4.686319 5.046425 5.453352 5.901586 6.436351
2025-08-31 3.646293 4.053836 4.517957 5.092566 5.794937 6.639520 7.754641
2025-09-07 3.364978 3.831695 4.385300 5.103888 6.033411 7.228349 8.941759
2025-09-14 3.077322 3.559562 4.147279 4.935234 5.996163 7.428869 9.619189
2025-09-21 2.874772 3.368771 3.984619 4.833458 6.017279 7.688946 10.404585
2025-09-28 2.725193 3.230041 3.872140 4.779490 6.086601 8.012308 11.334537
2025-10-05 2.615746 3.133302 3.804039 4.774654 6.217801 8.436373 12.512719
2025-10-12 2.553245 3.092276 3.804724 4.862175 6.489599 9.114185 14.308491
2025-10-19 2.491327 3.046944 3.794380 4.929701 6.734061 9.781275 16.283488
2025-10-26 2.417575 2.980563 3.749025 4.939122 6.883293 10.302687 18.125517
2025-11-02 2.323570 2.881148 3.650237 4.858213 6.872135 10.524810 19.354170
2025-11-09 2.223066 2.768103 3.525689 4.728072 6.763424 10.542529 20.082574
2025-11-16 2.144205 2.684418 3.442823 4.663052 6.770710 10.809861 21.644023
2025-11-23 2.099982 2.648065 3.427841 4.705816 6.975223 11.522563 24.867212
2025-11-30 2.050601 2.601757 3.394926 4.715861 7.119737 12.135850 28.191640
2025-12-07 1.964609 2.499001 3.271704 4.567213 6.949384 12.007918 28.845069
2025-12-14 1.898728 2.423253 3.186427 4.477324 6.883960 12.116374 30.505825
2025-12-21 1.847461 2.366961 3.128328 4.429603 6.895540 12.411499 33.169248
2025-12-28 1.809609 2.329023 3.096807 4.425324 6.992832 12.940068 37.392946
2026-01-04 1.792589 2.321233 3.111727 4.502701 7.264978 13.989301 45.663045
2026-01-11 1.772402 2.307769 3.116739 4.562329 7.506860 15.026770 55.942803
2026-01-18 1.742346 2.278214 3.094480 4.570644 7.638146 15.782393 66.158070
2026-01-25 1.697382 2.224526 3.031043 4.499200 7.584155 15.957268 71.953727